講座題目：Opening the Gates: Automation, Migrant Integration, and Urban Safety（敞開門戶：自動(dòng)化、移民融合與城市安全）
主講人：余沭樂 華東師范大學(xué)
講座時(shí)間：2025年12月04日14:00
講座地點(diǎn)：學(xué)院366
講座內(nèi)容摘要：
Utilizing a unique city-level panel that links industrial robot adoption to adjudicated criminal cases and offender profiles, this paper asks under what institutional conditions automation can be harnessed to support safer, more inclusive cities in China. Focusing on stratification generated by the hukou system, we find that robot exposure primarily raises property crime among migrant (non-hukou) populations, with little effect on local hukou residents or on violent crime. Crucially, these effects are markedly weaker in cities with more inclusive institutional environments, where entry thresholds to urban entitlements are lower and inequality is milder, highlighting that institutional design can buffer the social side effects of technological change. Complementary micro-evidence shows that hukou-based labor-market segmentation and barriers to social integration are the key channels linking automation to crime; where employment opportunities, social insurance coverage, and local attachment improve for migrants, the crime response attenuates. The results indicate that aligning automation with inclusive urban institutions can mitigate distributional pressures on migrants and help translate productivity gains into broader social benefits.
本文構(gòu)建了一個(gè)獨(dú)特的城市層面面板數(shù)據(jù)，將工業(yè)機(jī)器人采用與經(jīng)審理裁判的刑事案件及被告人信息相鏈接，旨在探討在何種制度條件下，自動(dòng)化能夠被有效利用以促進(jìn)中國(guó)城市的安全與包容。圍繞戶籍制度所造成的分層，我們發(fā)現(xiàn)：機(jī)器人暴露主要推動(dòng)流動(dòng)人口（無(wú)本地戶籍）群體中的財(cái)產(chǎn)型犯罪，而對(duì)本地戶籍居民及暴力犯罪影響甚微。更為關(guān)鍵的是，在制度環(huán)境更具包容性的城市（城市權(quán)益獲得門檻更低、總體不平等程度較溫和）上述效應(yīng)顯著減弱，表明制度設(shè)計(jì)可以緩沖技術(shù)變革的社會(huì)副作用。微觀證據(jù)進(jìn)一步顯示，基于戶籍的勞動(dòng)力市場(chǎng)分割與社會(huì)融入障礙是自動(dòng)化影響犯罪的關(guān)鍵渠道；當(dāng)流動(dòng)人口的就業(yè)機(jī)會(huì)、社會(huì)保險(xiǎn)覆蓋和地方依附感得到改善時(shí)，犯罪響應(yīng)隨之減弱。總體而言，結(jié)果表明，將自動(dòng)化與包容性的城市制度相協(xié)調(diào)有助于緩解流動(dòng)人口面臨的分配性壓力，并將生產(chǎn)率提升轉(zhuǎn)化為更廣泛的社會(huì)福利。
主講人學(xué)術(shù)簡(jiǎn)介：
余沭樂，華東師范大學(xué)經(jīng)濟(jì)與管理學(xué)院講師,研究領(lǐng)域?yàn)閯趧?dòng)經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)與法律經(jīng)濟(jì)學(xué)，關(guān)注人工智能技術(shù)與勞動(dòng)力市場(chǎng)動(dòng)態(tài)。相關(guān)研究發(fā)表在Journal of Economic Behavior & Organization，Structural Change and Economic Dynamics，China Economic Review,《管理世界》《系統(tǒng)工程理論與實(shí)踐》等期刊。
